Job prospects Centralized Traffic Control (CTC) Operator - Railway Traffic in Canada

People working as a centralized traffic control (CTC) operator - railway traffic have different job prospects depending on where they work in Canada. Find out what the future holds for them in your province or territory. These prospects are applicable to all Railway traffic controllers and marine traffic regulators (NOC 2275).

Note: These employment prospects were published in December 2021 based on the information available at the time of analysis. The next update will be in December 2022. To learn more, see our FAQs. You can also find additional information on the Canadian Online Job Posting Dashboard.

Job opportunities over the next 3 years

Explore future job prospects by province and territory.

Location Job prospects
Newfoundland and Labrador Undetermined Undetermined
Prince Edward Island Undetermined Undetermined
Nova Scotia Undetermined Undetermined
New Brunswick Undetermined Undetermined
Quebec Undetermined Undetermined
Ontario Undetermined Undetermined
Manitoba Undetermined Undetermined
Saskatchewan Undetermined Undetermined
Alberta Undetermined Undetermined
British Columbia Good Good
Yukon Territory Undetermined Undetermined
Northwest Territories Undetermined Undetermined
Nunavut Undetermined Undetermined
Legend: The job opportunities can be: Undetermined Limited Fair Good

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Labour market conditions over the next 10 years

Take a closer look at the projected labour demand and supply for this occupation over the 2019-2028 period. For more information on future job trends, go to the Canadian Occupational Projections System.

Summary

SHORTAGE: This occupational group is expected to face labour shortage conditions over the period of 2019-2028 at the national level. The section below contains more detailed information regarding the outlook for this occupational group.

Employment in 2018

28,200

Median age of workers in 2018

44

Average retirement age in 2018

61.0

Detailed analysis

In order to determine the expected outlook of an occupation, the magnitude of the difference between the projected total numbers of new job seekers and job openings over the whole projection period (2019-2028) is analyzed in conjunction with an assessment of labour market conditions in recent years. The intention is to determine if recent labour market conditions (surplus, balance or shortage) are expected to persist or change over the period 2019-2028. For instance, if the analysis of key labour market indicators suggests that the number of job seekers was insufficient to fill the job openings (a shortage of workers) in an occupational group in recent years, the projections are used to assess if this situation will continue over the projection period or if the occupation will move towards balanced conditions.

Over the 2016-2018 period, employment in this occupation declined. The unemployment rate increased slightly, although it remained below its historical trend and below the national average in 2018. The number of unemployed workers per job vacancy remained close to the national average over the period. Hence, the analysis of key labour market indicators suggests that the number of job seekers was sufficient to fill the job openings in this occupational group over the 2016-2018 period.

For Transportation officers and controllers, over the period 2019-2028, new job openings (arising from expansion demand and replacement demand) are expected to total 14,000 , while 9,200 new job seekers (arising from school leavers, immigration and mobility) are expected to be available to fill them.

Although this occupational group has had a balanced market in recent years, projected job openings are expected to be substantially higher than job seekers, creating a shortage of workers over the 2019-2028 period. The majority of job openings are projected to arise from employment growth and retirements. Retirements are expected to account for about 61% of total job openings, a proportion comparable to the average of all occupations (about 59% of openings). These workers tend to be older and to retire at an earlier age than most Canadian workers, resulting in a retirement rate that is significantly higher than the average of all occupations. Employment growth is also expected to be higher than the Canadian average. Job creation in this occupation largely depends on the health of the transportation industry. On one side, increasing competition in freight transportation and the automation of procurement systems will limit growth, especially in the railway sector. However, stronger prospects for exports of manufactured goods are expected to create jobs in this occupation.

This occupational group is composed by five occupations. Although all are projected to have job creation, each occupation will face different magnitudes of growth. About two-thirds of workers are air pilots, flight engineers and flying instructors, or air traffic controllers and related occupations. Employment among these workers largely depends on the expectations in the air, rail and water transportation services industry. The Canadian air transportation is expected to remain relatively strong in the short-term with traffic growth being supported by a lower currency and airlines adding new routes, while increasing the frequencies of existing connections. Approximately another third of workers in this occupational group are deck and engineer officers in water transportation, while the fewer rest are railway traffic controllers and marine traffic regulators. Their employment growth largely depends on the outlook of water and rail transportation activities. The continued low prices of commodities will continue limiting the need for this type of transportation for these goods, constraining employment growth for these workers.

Although higher safety standards will also support growth for this occupational group, technological changes might lead to gains in productivity, which might ultimately also limit opportunities for workers in this occupation. One additional forecast risk for this projection is the increasing protectionist sentiment in countries around the world, including the United States, which could potentially limit exports growth of Canadian goods.

With regard to labour supply, school leavers are projected to account for the majority of job seekers. New immigrants and workers from other occupations are expected to account for an additional 25% of seekers. Indeed, workers from related occupations such as water transport deck and engine room crew (NOC 7532) and boat and cable ferry operators and related occupations (NOC 7533) will pursue opportunities as transportation officers and controllers. Despite this inflow of workers, job seekers are projected to be significantly lower than openings, creating a shortage condition over the projection period.

Source Canadian Occupational Projections System – ESDC

Labour Market Information Survey
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