Job outlook Police Officer in Canada
People working as a police officer have different job prospects depending on where they work in Canada. Find out what the future holds for them in your province or territory. These outlooks are applicable to all Police officers (except commissioned) (NOC 4311).
Job opportunities over the next 3 years
Explore future job prospects by province and territory.
|Newfoundland and Labrador||Fair|
|Prince Edward Island||Fair|
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Labour market conditions over the next 10 years
Take a closer look at the projected labour demand and supply for this occupation over the 2017-2026 period. For more information on future job trends, go to the Canadian Occupational Projections System.
In order to determine the expected outlook of an occupation, the magnitude of the difference between the projected total numbers of new job seekers and job openings over the whole projection period (2017-2026) is analyzed in conjunction with an assessment of labour market conditions in recent years. The intention is to determine if recent labour market conditions (surplus, balance or shortage) are expected to persist or change over the period 2017-2026. For instance, if the analysis of key labour market indicators suggests that the number of job seekers was insufficient to fill the job openings (a shortage of workers) in an occupational group in recent years, the projections are used to assess if this situation will continue over the projection period or if the occupation will move towards balanced conditions.
Over the 2014-2016 period, employment growth in this occupational group was stronger than the average for all occupations. The unemployment rate increased slightly to reach 1.7% in 2016, but remained below the national average of 7.0%. The average hourly wage for this occupational group increased at a similar pace that the average for all occupations. In addition, remuneration in this occupational group remained high in comparison with wages in other occupations requiring a college diploma. Despite some signs of labour shortage in key labour market indicators, analysis of additional indicators suggested that the number of job seekers was sufficient to fill the job openings in this occupational group over the 2014-2016 period.
For Police officers (except commissioned), over the period 2017-2026, new job openings (arising from expansion demand and replacement demand) are expected to total 23,100, while 21,500 new job seekers (arising from school leavers, immigration and mobility) are expected to be available to fill them.
As job openings and job seekers are projected to be at relatively similar levels over the 2017-2026 period, the balance between labour supply and demand seen in recent years is expected to continue over the projection period. Job openings are expected to mainly arise from retirements. Workers retiring are expected to account for almost two-thirds of job openings, although the retirement rate of police officers is expected to be similar to the average for all occupations. Employment growth is expected to be at par with the average for all occupations over the next decade, but far fewer jobs should be created compared to what was observed over the 2007-2016 period in this occupational group. The decreasing crime rate recorded over the last decade did not translate into a decline in demand for police services. In fact, the number of police officers actually increased due to, notably, to the diversification of police interventions over time. For instance, police got increasingly involved in cybercrime prevention and investigations, which led to an increase in the demand for police officers. Although these trends are expected to go on over the projection period, they will be limited by the budget constraints that many governments are facing. With respect to labour supply, most job seekers are projected to come from the school system because of the nature of work in this occupational grouping. This occupational group is hardly accessible to immigrants due to strict employment requirements, notably the three- to six-month police training program mandatory after the completion of a college program in security or a university degree in law or criminology. Finally, a small number of job seekers are expected to seek employment in this occupational group, notably from legal and public protection support occupations (NOC 4420). These workers, mainly past graduates from the law enforcement field, are expected to seek work in this occupation which better reflects their training and generally offers better work benefits.
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