Job outlook Early Childhood Educator (E.C.E.) in Canada

People working as an early childhood educator (E.C.E.) have different job prospects depending on where they work in Canada. Find out what the future holds for them in your province or territory. These outlooks are applicable to all Early childhood educators and assistants (NOC 4214).

Job opportunities over the next 3 years

Explore future job prospects by province and territory.

Location Job outlook
Newfoundland and Labrador Fair
Prince Edward Island Good
Nova Scotia Good
New Brunswick Fair
Quebec Good
Ontario Fair
Manitoba Good
Saskatchewan Fair
Alberta Fair
British Columbia Fair
Yukon Territory Good
Northwest Territories Fair
Nunavut Fair
Legend: The job opportunities can be: Undetermined Limited Fair Good

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Labour market conditions over the next 10 years

Take a closer look at the projected labour demand and supply for this occupation over the 2017-2026 period. For more information on future job trends, go to the Canadian Occupational Projections System.

Summary

BALANCE: Labour demand and labour supply are expected to be broadly in line for this occupation group over the 2017-2026 period at the national level. The section below contains more detailed information regarding the outlook for this occupational group.
Employment in 2016
253,800
Median age of workers in 2016
39
Average retirement age in 2016
63.0

Detailed analysis

In order to determine the expected outlook of an occupation, the magnitude of the difference between the projected total numbers of new job seekers and job openings over the whole projection period (2017-2026) is analyzed in conjunction with an assessment of labour market conditions in recent years. The intention is to determine if recent labour market conditions (surplus, balance or shortage) are expected to persist or change over the period 2017-2026. For instance, if the analysis of key labour market indicators suggests that the number of job seekers was insufficient to fill the job openings (a shortage of workers) in an occupational group in recent years, the projections are used to assess if this situation will continue over the projection period or if the occupation will move towards balanced conditions.

Over the 2014-2016 period, employment growth in this occupational group was slightly above the average for all occupations. The unemployment rate remained stable at 5.5% in 2016, below the national average of 7.0%. However, the average hourly wage, in real terms, recorded a small decline over the period of interest. Hence, analysis of key labour market indicators suggests that the number of job seekers was sufficient to fill the job openings in this occupational group.

For Early childhood educators and assistants, over the period 2017-2026, new job openings (arising from expansion demand and replacement demand) are expected to total 94,100, while 99,200 new job seekers (arising from school leavers, immigration and mobility) are expected to be available to fill them.

As job openings and job seekers are projected to be at relatively similar levels over the 2017-2026 period, the balance between labour supply and demand seen in recent years is expected to continue over the projection period. Job openings are projected to arise mainly from expansion demand. Employment growth is projected to be above the average for all occupations, but still below the growth recorded in this occupational grouping over the 2007-2016 period. Two main reasons explain the lower employment growth expected over the projection period. First, the growth in the number of children aged 0 to 4 years old is anticipated to be weaker than in the past, which will translate into lower attendance in early childhood centers and home daycares. Second, the adoption of different regulations and programs over the last ten years, such as higher qualification requirements for this occupational group, is expected to have a tempering effect on employment growth over the projection period. Despite the fact that some provinces started requiring college degrees from workers in this occupational group over the last decade, employment growth remained strong as it was fuelled by the creation of many spaces in early childhood centers, a trend expected to slow down significantly over the projection period. Although the number of retirements is expected to be relatively high, the retirement rate is projected to be below the average for all occupations. Workers in this occupational group are generally younger than those in other occupations and usually retire at the same age. With regard to labour supply, school leavers are expected to account for more than 80% of job seekers. Immigration will also account for an appreciable number of job seekers as the employment requirement of some positions (such as early childhood educator assistant) within this occupational grouping is relatively low. A non-negligible number of workers are expected to seek opportunities in other occupations, notably managers in social, community and correctional services (NOC 0423).

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